The Pandemic Pitfall: Short-Term Forecasts Could Drive Mispricing in U.S. Office

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Short-Term Forecasts Could Drive Mispricing in U.S. Office

REAL ESTATE

The Pandemic Pitfall: Short-Term Forecasts Could Drive Mispricing in U.S. Office

Nov. 16, 2020

In our prior report on the office sector, Back to Work: Office Demand in a Post-Pandemic World, we outlined our macro-level view of the potential impacts of COVID-19 on the office sector. Specifically, we outlined why we believe remote working will reduce office demand through 2021, but should have a limited long-term impact as many companies could reverse their remote workforce decisions in 2022 and beyond. With that premise – near term demand headwinds and a long-term reversion to growth – The Pandemic Pitfall outlines the markets that we think could offer attractively priced office properties that are experiencing temporary disruption. The report includes what we believe are the most relevant indicators of short and long term office demand today, some of which are intuitive, and some of which are not.